← Süper Lig 2017 · Sun, Sep 24, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Serkan Tokat, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kardemir Karabukspor win | 47% | 2.06 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.58 |
| Yeni Malatyaspor win | 25% | 3.85 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Yalçın Ayhan · Yeni Malatyaspor |
| 39' | ⚽ | Adem Büyük · Yeni Malatyaspor |
| 45' | ⚽ | Eren Tozlu · Yeni Malatyaspor |
| 49' | 🟨 | Dany Nounkeu · Kardemir Karabukspor |
| 56' | ⚽ (pen) | Mustapha Yatabaré · Kardemir Karabukspor |
| 84' | 🟨 | Barış Başdaş · Kardemir Karabukspor |
| 84' | 🟨 | Yalçın Ayhan · Yeni Malatyaspor |
| 84' | ⚽ | Gabriel Torje · Kardemir Karabukspor |
| 86' | 🟨 | Ertaç Özbir · Yeni Malatyaspor |
| 89' | ⚽ | Khalid Boutaïb · Yeni Malatyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 12 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 24 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kardemir Karabukspor | Yeni Malatyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 |
| venue | Dr. Necmettin Şeyhoğlu Stadium |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 235.00 | 23.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 4.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1537.24 | 1472.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.59 | -43.11 |
| eye test v1 | -0.29 | 0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.44 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.50 | 60.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.27 |
| league points | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.20 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.67 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 0.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.60 | 0.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 29.13 | 28.12 |
| state index | 0.33 | -1.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.35 | 0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |