← Süper Lig 2017 · Sat, Sep 23, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Ali Palabiyik, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 37% | 2.65 |
| Besiktas win | 35% | 2.81 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.43 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ (pen) | Giuliano · Fenerbahce |
| 23' | 🟨 | Vincent Janssen · Fenerbahce |
| 23' | 🟨 | Oğuzhan Özyakup · Besiktas |
| 30' | 🟨 | Mehmet Ekici · Fenerbahce |
| 36' | 🟨 | Atiba Hutchinson · Besiktas |
| 41' | 🟨 | Ricardo Quaresma · Besiktas |
| 43' | 🟨 | Ricardo Quaresma · Besiktas |
| 43' | 🟥 | Ricardo Quaresma · Besiktas |
| 44' | 🟨 | Caner Erkin · Besiktas |
| 45' | 🟥 | Luís Neto · Fenerbahce |
| 77' | 🟨 | Alper Potuk · Fenerbahce |
| 77' | 🟨 | Gary Medel · Besiktas |
| 78' | 🟨 | Duško Tošić · Besiktas |
| 85' | 🟨 | Atiba Hutchinson · Besiktas |
| 85' | 🟥 | Atiba Hutchinson · Besiktas |
| 86' | ⚽ (pen) | Vincent Janssen · Fenerbahce |
| 87' | ⚽ | Ryan Babel · Besiktas |
| 88' | 🟥 | İsmail Köybaşı · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Souza · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Oğuzhan Özyakup · Besiktas |
| 90' | 🟨 | Álvaro Negredo · Besiktas |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ryan Babel · Besiktas |
| 90' | 🟥 | Oğuzhan Özyakup · Besiktas |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 22 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 9 |
| 2 | Red cards | 3 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Besiktas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadı |
| coach days | 114.00 | 845.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 2.44 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1703.13 | 1807.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.19 | 0.12 |
| eye test v1 | 0.42 | 1.21 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.90 | 63.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.83 |
| league points | 8.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 16.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 62.80 | 56.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 2.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.53 | 1.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 6.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 8.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.80 |
| squad age | 26.93 | 28.73 |
| state index | 0.17 | 1.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.98 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.20 |