← Süper Lig 2017 · Sat, Sep 9, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Ali Palabiyik, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 51% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.79 |
| Kardemir Karabukspor win | 23% | 4.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Duško Tošić · Besiktas |
| 56' | 🟨 | Gabriel Torje · Kardemir Karabukspor |
| 57' | 🟨 | Mustapha Yatabaré · Kardemir Karabukspor |
| 58' | 🟨 | Dany Nounkeu · Kardemir Karabukspor |
| 68' | 🟨 | Duško Tošić · Besiktas |
| 68' | 🟥 | Duško Tošić · Besiktas |
| 78' | ⚽ | Ryan Babel · Besiktas |
| 86' | 🟨 | Necip Uysal · Besiktas |
| 89' | 🟨 | Caner Erkin · Besiktas |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 18 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kardemir Karabukspor | Besiktas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Dr. Necmettin Şeyhoğlu Stadium |
| 1.40 |
| coach days | 220.00 | 831.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 2.97 |
| elo | 1548.78 | 1799.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 58.48 | 2.34 |
| eye test v1 | -0.31 | 1.06 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | -0.46 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.60 | 63.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.64 |
| league points | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 86.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 57.80 |
| rest days | 15.00 | 14.00 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.17 | 1.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 28.88 | 28.98 |
| state index | 0.81 | 1.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.05 | 0.76 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |