← Süper Lig 2017 · Sat, Aug 26, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Mete Kalkavan, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 68% | 1.44 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.06 |
| Bursaspor win | 13% | 7.55 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Adriano · Besiktas |
| 18' | ⚽ | Duško Tošić · Besiktas |
| 23' | ⚽ | Dzon Delarge · Bursaspor |
| 36' | 🟨 | Barış Yardımcı · Bursaspor |
| 64' | ⚽ | Atiba Hutchinson · Besiktas |
| 68' | 🟨 | Mikel Agu · Bursaspor |
| 86' | 🟨 | Andreas Beck · Besiktas |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jires Kembo-Ekoko · Bursaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 3 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Besiktas | Bursaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| venue | Vodafone Park |
| coach days | 817.00 | 86.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.71 | 1.83 |
| elo | 1797.89 | 1440.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.68 | 12.08 |
| eye test v1 | 0.89 | -0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.65 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.50 | 48.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.60 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.47 |
| league points | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 16.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.80 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.80 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 7.80 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.33 | -0.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.70 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.04 | 27.08 |
| state index | 1.35 | -0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.56 | -0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |