← Süper Lig 2017 · Sat, Aug 12, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Yasar Kemal Ugurlu, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 57% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.93 |
| Goztep win | 18% | 5.48 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Alper Potuk · Fenerbahce |
| 8' | ⚽ | André Castro · Goztep |
| 23' | 🟨 | Rajko Rotman · Goztep |
| 57' | ⚽ | Ezequiel Scarione · Goztep |
| 64' | ⚽ | Martin Škrtel · Fenerbahce |
| 86' | 🟨 | Sabri Sarioğlu · Goztep |
| 90' | 🟨 | Beto · Goztep |
| 90' | 🟨 | André Castro · Goztep |
| 90' | 🟨 | Samed Karakoç · Fenerbahce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 6 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 0 | Corners | 4 |
| 20 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Goztep | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | — | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | — | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | — | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | — | 0.46 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| venue | Bornova Stadyumu |
| coach days | 42.00 | 72.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | — | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | — | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | — | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 3.09 |
| elo | 1396.68 | 1760.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.80 | 2.54 |
| eye test v1 | — | -0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | — | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | — | 59.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.81 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | — | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | — | 51.40 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 8.85 |
| skill v1 | — | 0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | — | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | — | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | — | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | — | 3.80 |
| squad age | — | 27.70 |
| state index | -1.11 | 1.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | — | 0.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | — | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | — | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | — | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.60 |