← Ligue 2 2017 · Fri, May 11, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Antony Gautier, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stade Brestois 29 win | 60% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.21 |
| Chateauroux win | 17% | 5.69 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | ⚽ | Jean-Charles Castelletto · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 62' | 🟨 | Johan Gastien · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 63' | ⚽ | Saïd Benrahma · Chateauroux |
| 81' | ⚽ | Mathias Autret · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 88' | ⚽ | Saïd Benrahma · Chateauroux |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 7 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Chateauroux | Stade Brestois 29 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| coach days |
| venue | Stade Gaston-Petit |
| 1683.00 |
| 679.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.20 | 2.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1484.13 | 1594.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.22 | 36.62 |
| eye test v1 | -0.01 | 0.90 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.20 | 47.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.58 |
| league points | 71.00 | 78.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 55.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.65 | 1.81 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.25 | 0.82 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 25.96 | 26.46 |
| state index | -0.10 | 0.90 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.08 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |