← Ligue 2 2017 · Fri, Apr 27, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Brisard Jerome, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC win | 45% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.33 |
| Ajaccio win | 26% | 3.81 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Jean-Pascal Fontaine · Le Havre AC |
| 61' | 🟨 | Kévin Lejeune · Ajaccio |
| 71' | 🟥 | Alimami Gory · Le Havre AC |
| 85' | 🟨 | Kévin Lejeune · Ajaccio |
| 85' | 🟥 | Kévin Lejeune · Ajaccio |
| 90' | ⚽ | Amos Youga · Le Havre AC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 10 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Le Havre AC | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| coach days |
| venue | Stade Océane |
| 573.00 |
| 330.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 1.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1509.33 | 1500.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.29 | -14.25 |
| eye test v1 | 0.59 | -0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.68 | 0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.10 | 65.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.60 |
| league points | 62.00 | 113.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 70.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 43.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 2.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 1.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 8.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.47 | -1.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 24.99 | 28.64 |
| state index | 0.21 | -0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.17 | -0.94 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |