← Ligue 2 2017 · Fri, Apr 20, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Mikael Lesage, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient win | 64% | 1.53 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.50 |
| Valenciennes win | 15% | 6.52 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Steven Moreira · FC Lorient |
| 24' | 🟨 | Lindsay Rose · FC Lorient |
| 33' | 🟨 | Johann Ramare · Valenciennes |
| 37' | ⚽ | Gaëtan Robail · Valenciennes |
| 55' | 🟨 | Vincent Le Goff · FC Lorient |
| 72' | 🟨 | Mattéo Guendouzi · FC Lorient |
| 87' | 🟨 | Gaël Danic · FC Lorient |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 9 |
| 1 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Lorient | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| coach days |
| venue | Stade du Moustoir |
| 325.00 |
| 840.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1541.27 | 1405.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.89 | -7.64 |
| eye test v1 | -0.11 | -0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.50 | 58.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.55 | 0.67 |
| league points | 62.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.00 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.40 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 6.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.68 | 1.16 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.25 | -0.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.00 | 26.49 |
| state index | -0.02 | -0.75 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.12 | -0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |