← Ligue 2 2017 · Mon, Apr 16, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Amaury Delerue, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stade Brestois 29 win | 37% | 2.60 |
| FC Lorient win | 34% | 2.87 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.36 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 0 |
| 8 | On target | 0 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stade Brestois 29 | FC Lorient |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| coach days |
| venue | Stade Francis-Le-Blé |
| 654.00 |
| 321.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | — |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.66 | 1.48 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | — | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1543.56 | 1556.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.34 | 13.28 |
| eye test v1 | 0.06 | 0.37 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.10 | 59.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.56 |
| league points | 59.00 | 62.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 84.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 56.00 |
| rest days | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.64 | 1.72 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.70 | 1.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.52 | 26.38 |
| state index | -0.02 | 0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.57 | 1.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |