← Ligue 2 2017 · Fri, Apr 13, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Frank Schneider, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio win | 48% | 2.02 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.29 |
| Nancy win | 22% | 4.35 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | 🟨 | Manuel Cabit · Ajaccio |
| 34' | 🟨 | Serge N'Guessan · Nancy |
| 55' | 🟨 | Vincent Muratori · Nancy |
| 66' | 🟨 | Vincent Muratori · Nancy |
| 66' | 🟥 | Vincent Muratori · Nancy |
| 74' | ⚽ | Qazim Laci · Ajaccio |
| 79' | ⚽ | Mathieu Coutadeur · Ajaccio |
| 90' | 🟨 | Qazim Laci · Ajaccio |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jérôme Hergault · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 5 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | Nancy |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| coach days |
| venue | Stade François-Coty |
| 316.00 |
| 12.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1506.80 | 1403.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 53.19 | 8.25 |
| eye test v1 | -0.29 | -0.83 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.20 | 59.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.66 |
| league points | 104.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 70.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 44.40 |
| rest days | 6.83 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.58 | 0.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 8.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.70 | -0.99 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 28.12 | 26.30 |
| state index | 0.64 | -0.64 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.39 | -0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.20 |