← Ligue 2 2017 · Fri, Apr 6, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Olivier Thual, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chateauroux win | 35% | 2.74 |
| Ajaccio win | 34% | 2.89 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.13 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Richard-Quentin Samnick · Chateauroux |
| 15' | ⚽ | Ghislain Gimbert · Ajaccio |
| 75' | 🟨 | Ghislain Gimbert · Ajaccio |
| 76' | ⚽ | Kévin Lejeune · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Chateauroux | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| coach days | 1648.00 | 309.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.37 |
| venue | Stade Gaston-Petit |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 1.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1498.33 | 1477.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.43 | 24.03 |
| eye test v1 | 0.01 | -0.85 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | -0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.60 | 52.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.41 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.65 |
| league points | 63.00 | 98.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 71.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.60 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 6.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.70 | 1.53 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 7.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.63 | -0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 25.61 | 29.25 |
| state index | 0.19 | -0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.79 | 0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.80 |