← Ligue 2 2017 · Tue, Apr 3, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Cedric Dos Santos, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tours win | 49% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.41 |
| Valenciennes win | 23% | 4.22 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Sloan Privat · Valenciennes |
| 44' | 🟨 | Julien Masson · Valenciennes |
| 56' | 🟨 | Johann Ramare · Valenciennes |
| 72' | ⚽ | Steve Ambri · Valenciennes |
| 74' | 🟨 | Haris Belkebla · Tours |
| 85' | 🟨 | Julien Masson · Valenciennes |
| 85' | 🟥 | Julien Masson · Valenciennes |
| 87' | ⚽ | Antoine Devaux · Tours |
| 90' | 🟨 | Loris Néry · Valenciennes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 6 | Shots | 5 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Tours | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.43 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| coach days |
| venue | Stade de la Vallée-du-Cher |
| 153.00 |
| 823.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.71 | 1.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1352.60 | 1409.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 62.94 | -26.45 |
| eye test v1 | -0.48 | 0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | 0.57 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.30 | 55.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.66 |
| league points | 21.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 0.64 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.33 | -0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 25.33 | 26.78 |
| state index | 0.02 | -0.76 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.35 | -0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |