← Ligue 2 2017 · Fri, Mar 30, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Bartolomeu Varela Teles, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nimes win | 75% | 1.30 |
| Draw | 17% | 5.87 |
| Valenciennes win | 9% | 11.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Rachid Alioui · Nimes |
| 41' | 🟨 | Johann Ramare · Valenciennes |
| 53' | 🟨 | Jordan Tell · Valenciennes |
| 76' | 🟨 | Umut Bozok · Nimes |
| 76' | 🟨 | Lossemy Karaboue · Valenciennes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nimes | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.00 |
| coach days |
| venue | Stade des Costières |
| 880.00 |
| 819.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.21 | 1.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1613.83 | 1413.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 41.64 | -18.10 |
| eye test v1 | 0.85 | -0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | 0.58 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 70.00 | 54.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.60 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.61 |
| league points | 64.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 10.96 | 13.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.94 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.40 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.37 | -0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 24.39 | 27.59 |
| state index | 0.85 | -0.64 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.70 | -0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |