← Ligue 2 2017 · Mon, Mar 19, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nimes win | 38% | 2.55 |
| Stade Brestois 29 win | 34% | 2.81 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.37 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Belaud · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 34' | ⚽ | Umut Bozok · Nimes |
| 47' | ⚽ | Anthony Briançon · Nimes |
| 57' | 🟨 | David Kiki · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 64' | 🟥 | Alexandre Coeff · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 69' | 🟨 | Jessy Pi · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 69' | 🟨 | Romain Del Castillo · Nimes |
| 71' | 🟨 | Bruno Grougi · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 72' | 🟨 | Teji Savanier · Nimes |
| 84' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Paquiez · Nimes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 1 | Corners | 6 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stade Brestois 29 | Nimes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| coach days |
| venue | Stade Francis-Le-Blé |
| 626.00 |
| 869.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 3.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.32 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.71 |
| elo | 1552.69 | 1598.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.34 | 23.99 |
| eye test v1 | -0.28 | 0.77 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | 0.47 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.90 | 69.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.67 |
| league points | 55.00 | 61.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.40 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.91 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 7.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.13 | -0.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 8.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 27.15 | 24.33 |
| state index | 0.07 | 0.69 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.79 | -0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |