← Ligue 2 2017 · Fri, Mar 16, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Bastien Dechepy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chateauroux win | 36% | 2.67 |
| Le Havre AC win | 33% | 2.93 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.19 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Chaker Alhadhur · Chateauroux |
| 74' | ⚽ | Oumare Tounkara · Chateauroux |
| 76' | 🟨 | Alimami Gory · Le Havre AC |
| 77' | 🟥 | Opa Sangante · Chateauroux |
| 79' | 🟨 | Zinedine Ferhat · Le Havre AC |
| 81' | ⚽ | Alimami Gory · Le Havre AC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Amos Youga · Le Havre AC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Chateauroux | Le Havre AC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| coach days |
| venue | Stade Gaston-Petit |
| 1627.00 |
| 531.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.33 | 1.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1497.33 | 1534.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.82 | -21.59 |
| eye test v1 | -0.34 | -0.75 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.10 | 61.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.73 |
| league points | 60.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 71.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 43.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 1.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 8.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.58 | -1.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.37 | 25.93 |
| state index | 0.32 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.55 | -0.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.40 |