← Ligue 2 2017 · Fri, Mar 16, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Sylvain Palhies, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 42% | 2.31 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.08 |
| Valenciennes win | 27% | 3.66 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Saliou Ciss · Valenciennes |
| 33' | 🟨 | Mehdi Tahrat · Valenciennes |
| 36' | 🟥 | Baptiste Aloé · Valenciennes |
| 37' | 🟥 | Tony Mauricio · Valenciennes |
| 37' | 🟥 | Redouane Kerrouche · Paris FC |
| 40' | ⚽ | Malik Tchokounte · Paris FC |
| 45' | ⚽ | Gaëtan Robail · Valenciennes |
| 53' | 🟥 | Herve Lybohy · Paris FC |
| 55' | 🟨 | Sébastien Roudet · Valenciennes |
| 60' | ⚽ | Samuel Yohou · Paris FC |
| 66' | ⚽ | Dylan Saint-Louis · Paris FC |
| 71' | 🟨 | Samuel Yohou · Paris FC |
| 77' | 🟨 | Thiago Xavier · Valenciennes |
| 90' | ⚽ | Martin Mimoun · Paris FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 12 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 2 | Red cards | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| coach days |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| 805.00 |
| 288.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 2.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1427.10 | 1510.36 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.59 | 0.67 |
| eye test v1 | -0.55 | -0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.67 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.90 | 59.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.57 |
| league points | 38.00 | 59.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.74 | -0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.11 | 29.11 |
| state index | -0.55 | -0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.20 | 0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |