← Ligue 2 2017 · Fri, Mar 16, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Florent Batta, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient win | 64% | 1.51 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.30 |
| Orleans win | 13% | 7.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Yoane Wissa · FC Lorient |
| 6' | 🟨 | Gabriel Mutombo · Orleans |
| 26' | 🟨 | Denis Will Poha · Orleans |
| 42' | 🟨 | Gabriel Mutombo · Orleans |
| 42' | 🟥 | Gabriel Mutombo · Orleans |
| 45' | 🟨 | Maxime D'Arpino · Orleans |
| 64' | ⚽ | Gaëtan Courtet · FC Lorient |
| 86' | 🟨 | Gauthier Pinaud · Orleans |
| 88' | ⚽ | Ousmane Cissokho · Orleans |
| 90' | ⚽ | Alexis Claude-Maurice · FC Lorient |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 5 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Lorient | Orleans |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| coach days |
| venue | Stade du Moustoir |
| 290.00 |
| 2084.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.68 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1559.57 | 1432.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.11 | 8.93 |
| eye test v1 | -0.24 | -0.68 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.30 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.58 |
| league points | 56.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 20.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.70 | 1.28 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.64 | -0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.01 | 27.31 |
| state index | 0.13 | -0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.77 | 0.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |