← Ligue 2 2017 · Fri, Mar 9, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Alexandre Castro, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre win | 42% | 2.29 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.16 |
| Stade Brestois 29 win | 27% | 3.62 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | ⚽ | Julien Faussurier · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 55' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Belaud · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 57' | ⚽ | Jordan Adeoti · AJ Auxerre |
| 61' | 🟨 | Birama Touré · AJ Auxerre |
| 68' | ⚽ | Habib Diallo · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 86' | 🟨 | Pierre-Yves Polomat · AJ Auxerre |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AJ Auxerre | Stade Brestois 29 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| coach days |
| venue | Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps |
| 98.00 |
| 616.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.97 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1478.45 | 1542.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 48.83 | -16.19 |
| eye test v1 | -0.85 | -0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.30 | 61.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.68 |
| league points | 41.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 61.40 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.37 | 1.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.49 | 1.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 25.78 | 27.77 |
| state index | 0.54 | -0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.19 | 0.92 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |