← Ligue 2 2017 · Fri, Mar 2, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Alexandre Perreau Niel, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stade Brestois 29 win | 55% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.83 |
| Tours win | 19% | 4.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Florian Miguel · Tours |
| 39' | 🟨 | Florian Miguel · Tours |
| 42' | ⚽ | Jessy Pi · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 43' | 🟨 | Anthony Weber · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 58' | ⚽ | Daniel Mancini · Tours |
| 63' | ⚽ | Daniel Mancini · Tours |
| 79' | 🟨 | Jason Berthomier · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 82' | 🟨 | Daniel Mancini · Tours |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Charbonnier · Stade Brestois 29 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 6 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stade Brestois 29 | Tours |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| coach days |
| venue | Stade Francis-Le-Blé |
| 609.00 |
| 121.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.25 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1568.91 | 1299.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.42 | -12.28 |
| eye test v1 | -0.30 | 0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.31 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.10 | 50.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.69 |
| league points | 52.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.20 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.68 | 0.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.93 | -0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.76 | 24.71 |
| state index | 0.33 | -1.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.93 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |