← Ligue 2 2017 · Fri, Mar 2, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Bastien Dechepy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes win | 38% | 2.52 |
| Orleans win | 31% | 3.15 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.16 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | ⚽ | Anthony Le Tallec · Orleans |
| 44' | 🟨 | Sikou Niakaté · Valenciennes |
| 49' | 🟨 | Loris Néry · Valenciennes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 4 |
| 9 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Orleans |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.55 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| coach days | 791.00 | 2070.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 2.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1438.95 | 1434.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.36 | 39.23 |
| eye test v1 | -0.98 | -0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.41 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.90 | 61.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.53 |
| league points | 38.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.20 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 42.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 6.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.87 | -0.89 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.34 | 27.04 |
| state index | -0.37 | 0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.00 | -0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |