← Ligue 2 2017 · Sat, Feb 24, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Nicolas Rainville, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 41% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Stade Brestois 29 win | 28% | 3.42 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 77' | 🟨 | Johan Gastien · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 90' | ⚽ | Habib Diallo · Stade Brestois 29 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 4 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Paris FC | Stade Brestois 29 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| coach days | 268.00 | 603.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.11 |
| venue | Stade Charléty |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.30 | 2.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1514.95 | 1558.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.93 | -3.38 |
| eye test v1 | -0.25 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | -0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.80 | 59.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.74 |
| league points | 56.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 57.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.34 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.87 | 1.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.06 | 0.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.75 | 28.12 |
| state index | -0.01 | 0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.40 | 0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |