← Ligue 2 2017 · Fri, Feb 23, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Romain Delpech, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre win | 59% | 1.65 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
| Valenciennes win | 15% | 6.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | ⚽ | Hamza Sakhi · AJ Auxerre |
| 85' | 🟨 | Jordan Adeoti · AJ Auxerre |
| 87' | 🟨 | Laurent Dos Santos · Valenciennes |
| 88' | ⚽ | Mickael Tacalfred · AJ Auxerre |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 6 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 12 | Corners | 2 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AJ Auxerre | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| coach days | 84.00 | 784.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| venue | Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.44 | 1.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1466.68 | 1450.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 48.43 | 21.96 |
| eye test v1 | -0.80 | -0.98 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.30 | 58.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.64 |
| league points | 38.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 70.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.31 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 7.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.41 | -0.88 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 25.82 | 27.35 |
| state index | 0.27 | -0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.06 | -0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |