← Ligue 2 2017 · Fri, Feb 16, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Faouzi Benchabane
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 39% | 2.48 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.11 |
| Orleans win | 30% | 3.29 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Denis Will Poha · Orleans |
| 43' | ⚽ | Malik Tchokounte · Paris FC |
| 45' | 🟨 | Malik Tchokounte · Paris FC |
| 59' | 🟨 | Pierre Bouby · Orleans |
| 66' | 🟨 | Lalaina Nomenjanahary · Paris FC |
| 75' | 🟨 | Vincent Demarconnay · Paris FC |
| 79' | 🟨 | Redouane Kerrouche · Paris FC |
| 83' | 🟨 | Gauthier Gallon · Orleans |
| 89' | ⚽ | Ferris N'Goma · Orleans |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ferris N'Goma · Orleans |
| 90' | 🟥 | Hicham Benkaid · Orleans |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 3 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Orleans | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.48 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.71 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.48 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| coach days |
| venue | Stade de la Source |
| 2056.00 |
| 260.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.39 | 3.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1435.77 | 1515.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 33.59 | 1.49 |
| eye test v1 | -0.13 | 0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.42 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.40 | 65.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.49 | 0.73 |
| league points | 36.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.80 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.80 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.15 | 0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| state index | -0.01 | 0.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.36 | 0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |