← Ligue 2 2017 · Sat, Jan 27, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Thomas Leonard, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nimes win | 37% | 2.64 |
| Le Havre AC win | 32% | 3.05 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.09 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Rachid Alioui · Nimes |
| 22' | 🟨 | Ebenezer Assifuah · Le Havre AC |
| 23' | 🟨 | Fethi Harek · Nimes |
| 31' | 🟨 | Yacouba Coulibaly · Le Havre AC |
| 41' | ⚽ (pen) | Jean-Philippe Mateta · Le Havre AC |
| 53' | 🟨 | Sofiane Alakouch · Nimes |
| 56' | 🟨 | Sada Thioub · Nimes |
| 63' | 🟨 | Zinedine Ferhat · Le Havre AC |
| 66' | ⚽ | Harold Moukoudi · Le Havre AC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Victor Lekhal · Le Havre AC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fethi Harek · Nimes |
| 90' | 🟥 | Fethi Harek · Nimes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Le Havre AC | Nimes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| coach days |
| venue | Stade Océane |
| 483.00 |
| 818.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 5.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.12 | 3.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.69 |
| elo | 1550.95 | 1587.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.45 | -31.42 |
| eye test v1 | -0.87 | 0.78 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.42 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.20 | 62.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.60 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.74 |
| league points | 41.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 59.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 3.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.64 | 1.96 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 8.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.02 | 1.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 6.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 24.25 | 23.68 |
| state index | -0.02 | 0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |