← Ligue 2 2017 · Fri, Jan 26, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Mehdi Mokhtari, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy win | 41% | 2.37 |
| Stade Brestois 29 win | 30% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.26 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | ⚽ (og) | Ádám Lang · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 38' | ⚽ | Édouard Butin · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 58' | ⚽ | Amine Bassi · Nancy |
| 70' | 🟨 | Amine Bassi · Nancy |
| 74' | ⚽ | Modou Diagne · Nancy |
| 89' | 🟨 | Anthony Weber · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Bruno Grougi · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Johan Gastien · Stade Brestois 29 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 10 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 6 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nancy | Stade Brestois 29 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.11 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| coach days |
| venue | Stade Marcel-Picot |
| 4.00 |
| 574.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 1.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1448.87 | 1560.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.54 | -5.39 |
| eye test v1 | -1.10 | 0.74 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | -0.78 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.80 | 56.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.76 |
| league points | 24.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 0.96 | 1.69 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.01 | 0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.50 | 5.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 27.86 | 28.04 |
| state index | -0.74 | 0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.01 | 0.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.20 |