← Ligue 2 2017 · Mon, Jan 22, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Jeremy Stinat, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 40% | 2.46 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.97 |
| Ajaccio win | 28% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Dylan Saint-Louis · Paris FC |
| 28' | 🟨 | Dylan Saint-Louis · Paris FC |
| 29' | 🟨 | Ghislain Gimbert · Ajaccio |
| 45' | ⚽ | Dylan Saint-Louis · Paris FC |
| 49' | 🟨 | Cedric Avinel · Ajaccio |
| 66' | 🟨 | Thibault Vialla · Ajaccio |
| 77' | 🟨 | Joris Sainati · Ajaccio |
| 88' | ⚽ | Ghislain Gimbert · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Paris FC | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| coach days |
| venue | Stade Charléty |
| 235.00 |
| 235.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.12 | 2.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1516.88 | 1503.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.65 | 12.96 |
| eye test v1 | -0.15 | -0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.43 | 0.51 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.20 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.76 |
| league points | 48.00 | 71.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.60 | 41.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 2.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.92 | 1.65 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 6.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.86 | -0.93 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| state index | 0.50 | -0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.61 | -1.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |