← Ligue 2 2017 · Fri, Jan 19, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Florent Batta, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC win | 40% | 2.41 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.24 |
| Valenciennes win | 30% | 3.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Arnaud Balijon · Le Havre AC |
| 5' | ⚽ (pen) | Tony Mauricio · Valenciennes |
| 21' | 🟨 | Sikou Niakaté · Valenciennes |
| 35' | 🟨 | Thiago Xavier · Valenciennes |
| 54' | 🟨 | Yacouba Coulibaly · Le Havre AC |
| 73' | ⚽ | Jean-Philippe Mateta · Le Havre AC |
| 78' | 🟨 | Sébastien Roudet · Valenciennes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Le Havre AC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| coach days |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| 749.00 |
| 475.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 2.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1428.76 | 1552.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -41.26 | 8.10 |
| eye test v1 | -0.59 | -0.70 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.40 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.90 | 61.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | — |
| league points | 30.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.21 | -0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 25.98 | 24.31 |
| state index | -1.11 | 0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.13 | -0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |