← Ligue 2 2017 · Fri, Jan 19, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Romain Delpech, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre win | 38% | 2.57 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.11 |
| Orleans win | 31% | 3.13 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ | Hamza Sakhi · AJ Auxerre |
| 35' | 🟨 | Maxime D'Arpino · Orleans |
| 36' | 🟨 | Mohamed Yattara · AJ Auxerre |
| 59' | ⚽ | Mohamed Yattara · AJ Auxerre |
| 65' | ⚽ | Yannick Gomis · Orleans |
| 72' | 🟨 | Pierre-Yves Polomat · AJ Auxerre |
| 72' | ⚽ (pen) | Karim Ziani · Orleans |
| 73' | 🟨 | Abdoul Ba · AJ Auxerre |
| 75' | 🟨 | Denis Will Poha · Orleans |
| 78' | 🟨 | Brahim Konate · AJ Auxerre |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Pape Sane · AJ Auxerre |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 11 |
| 8 | On target | 7 |
| 1 | Corners | 3 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Orleans | AJ Auxerre |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| coach days |
| venue | Stade de la Source |
| 2028.00 |
| 49.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.04 | 3.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.24 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1406.24 | 1418.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.87 | -3.85 |
| eye test v1 | -0.49 | -0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.80 | 63.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.63 |
| league points | 27.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.40 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.88 | 0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.45 | 26.27 |
| state index | -0.09 | -0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.16 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |