← Ligue 2 2017 · Fri, Jan 12, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Karim Abed, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stade Brestois 29 win | 50% | 1.96 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.55 |
| Ajaccio win | 23% | 4.31 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Yoane Wissa · Ajaccio |
| 26' | ⚽ | Riad Nouri · Ajaccio |
| 37' | ⚽ | Ghislain Gimbert · Ajaccio |
| 73' | ⚽ | Édouard Butin · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 76' | 🟨 | Yoane Wissa · Ajaccio |
| 78' | ⚽ | Gaëtan Charbonnier · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 79' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Belaud · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 80' | 🟨 | Yann Boé-Kane · Ajaccio |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lenny Pintor · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ghislain Gimbert · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 11 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 0 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stade Brestois 29 | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.47 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.61 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| coach days |
| venue | Stade Francis-Le-Blé |
| 560.00 |
| 225.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 2.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1578.53 | 1490.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 52.76 | -27.04 |
| eye test v1 | 1.48 | -1.05 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.34 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.10 | 59.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.60 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.72 |
| league points | 41.00 | 63.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 27.83 | 28.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.86 | 1.66 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 5.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.61 | 0.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.10 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 8.67 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| squad age | 26.10 | 30.26 |
| state index | 1.16 | -0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.88 | 0.95 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.10 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |