← Ligue 2 2017 · Tue, Nov 28, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient win | 45% | 2.15 |
| Nimes win | 28% | 3.53 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.63 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Fethi Harek · Nimes |
| 28' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Paquiez · Nimes |
| 34' | ⚽ | Umut Bozok · Nimes |
| 44' | 🟨 | Ibrahima Sory Conté · FC Lorient |
| 51' | 🟨 | Sada Thioub · Nimes |
| 65' | ⚽ | Pierre-Yves Hamel · FC Lorient |
| 83' | 🟨 | Faïz Selemani · FC Lorient |
| 85' | 🟨 | Umut Bozok · Nimes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 9 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Lorient | Nimes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| coach days |
| venue | Stade du Moustoir |
| 182.00 |
| 758.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 2.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1563.88 | 1599.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.15 | 12.62 |
| eye test v1 | 1.32 | 1.29 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.40 | 58.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.70 |
| league points | 31.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 71.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.20 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 3.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.39 |
| season ppg | 1.72 | 2.06 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.23 | -0.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 6.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.20 |
| squad age | 25.75 | 25.20 |
| state index | 0.46 | 0.95 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.25 | -1.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |