← Ligue 2 2017 · Fri, Nov 24, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Eric Wattellier, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient win | 48% | 2.02 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.44 |
| Valenciennes win | 23% | 4.19 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | 🟨 | Johann Ramare · Valenciennes |
| 15' | ⚽ | Sébastien Roudet · Valenciennes |
| 25' | 🟨 | Tony Mauricio · Valenciennes |
| 41' | ⚽ | Lebo Mothiba · Valenciennes |
| 56' | ⚽ | Gaël Danic · FC Lorient |
| 66' | ⚽ | Mohamed Mara · FC Lorient |
| 69' | ⚽ | Lebo Mothiba · Valenciennes |
| 79' | 🟨 | Gaël Danic · FC Lorient |
| 79' | ⚽ (pen) | Tony Mauricio · Valenciennes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 13 |
| 7 | On target | 9 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | FC Lorient |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| coach days |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| 693.00 |
| 178.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 2.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1466.66 | 1581.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.29 | 17.80 |
| eye test v1 | 0.16 | 1.30 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.54 | 0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 61.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.80 |
| league points | 25.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 82.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 60.00 |
| rest days | 6.83 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.47 | 1.82 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.18 | 1.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 7.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.80 |
| squad age | 27.14 | 24.74 |
| state index | 0.04 | 0.66 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.01 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |