← Ligue 2 2017 · Sat, Nov 18, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Sebastien Moreira, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient win | 53% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 |
| Stade Brestois 29 win | 21% | 4.55 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | ⚽ | Julien Faussurier · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 31' | 🟨 | Valentin Henry · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 32' | ⚽ | Pierre-Yves Hamel · FC Lorient |
| 51' | ⚽ | Denis Bouanga · FC Lorient |
| 58' | ⚽ | Pierre-Yves Hamel · FC Lorient |
| 71' | 🟨 | Ibrahima Sissoko · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 80' | ⚽ | Julien Faussurier · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 81' | ⚽ (og) | Gaëtan Belaud · FC Lorient |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 13 |
| 8 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Lorient | Stade Brestois 29 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| coach days |
| venue | Stade du Moustoir |
| 172.00 |
| 505.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.92 | 4.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1570.44 | 1529.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.76 | -29.94 |
| eye test v1 | 0.89 | 0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.60 | 62.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.74 |
| league points | 28.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.80 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 62.60 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 15.00 | 15.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 1.53 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.52 | 0.74 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 25.36 | 26.33 |
| state index | 0.51 | -0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.60 | 0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |