← Ligue 2 2017 · Sat, Nov 4, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Benoit Millot, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Racing Club de Lens win | 35% | 2.77 |
| Nancy win | 35% | 2.82 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.24 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ | Malaly Dembele · Nancy |
| 36' | 🟨 | Alaeddine Yahia · Nancy |
| 54' | 🟨 | Joeffrey Cuffaut · Nancy |
| 59' | 🟨 | John Bostock · Racing Club de Lens |
| 81' | 🟨 | Moussa Maazou · Racing Club de Lens |
| 84' | ⚽ | Karim Hafez · Racing Club de Lens |
| 87' | 🟨 | Malaly Dembele · Nancy |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nancy | Racing Club de Lens |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| coach days |
| venue | Stade Marcel-Picot |
| 95.00 |
| 75.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.06 | 1.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1490.29 | 1546.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.86 | 32.38 |
| eye test v1 | -0.30 | 0.77 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.48 | 0.52 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.70 | 61.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 2.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 2.31 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.63 |
| league points | 17.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 56.40 |
| rest days | 7.04 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.14 | 1.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 26.65 | 25.03 |
| state index | -0.22 | 0.86 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.01 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |