← Ligue 2 2017 · Fri, Nov 3, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Johan Hamel, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stade Brestois 29 win | 41% | 2.36 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.29 |
| Valenciennes win | 29% | 3.37 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Stade Brestois 29 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| coach days |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| 672.00 |
| 490.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 4.28 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1436.12 | 1530.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.37 | -33.74 |
| eye test v1 | -0.30 | 0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.44 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 61.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.70 |
| league points | 18.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 56.40 |
| rest days | 6.04 | 7.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.07 | 0.89 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.11 | 27.31 |
| state index | -0.38 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.07 | 0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |