← Ligue 2 2017 · Sat, Oct 28, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Pierre Gaillouste, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nimes win | 52% | 1.86 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.67 |
| Valenciennes win | 21% | 4.61 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Rachid Alioui · Nimes |
| 19' | ⚽ | Lebo Mothiba · Valenciennes |
| 22' | 🟨 | Sigamary Diarra · Valenciennes |
| 24' | 🟨 | Julien Masson · Valenciennes |
| 35' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Paquiez · Nimes |
| 59' | 🟨 | Pierrick Valdivia · Nimes |
| 82' | ⚽ | Teji Savanier · Nimes |
| 89' | 🟨 | Teji Savanier · Nimes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Umut Bozok · Nimes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Nimes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.46 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| coach days |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| 666.00 |
| 727.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 1.85 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.70 |
| elo | 1444.01 | 1578.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.67 | -5.93 |
| eye test v1 | -0.59 | 0.86 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.59 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.00 | 59.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | 1.75 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | — |
| league points | 18.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 8.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.02 | -0.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 29.02 | 23.99 |
| state index | -0.46 | 0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.27 | -0.79 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |