← Ligue 2 2017 · Fri, Oct 27, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Alexandre Perreau Niel, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stade Brestois 29 win | 54% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.57 |
| Orleans win | 19% | 5.18 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 42' | ⚽ | Gaëtan Perrin · Orleans |
| 60' | 🟨 | Ferris N'Goma · Orleans |
| 66' | 🟨 | Habib Diallo · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 70' | 🟨 | Anthony Weber · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 73' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Perrin · Orleans |
| 84' | 🟨 | Denis Will Poha · Orleans |
| 87' | 🟨 | Édouard Butin · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 87' | 🟨 | Gauthier Pinaud · Orleans |
| 90' | 🟨 | Cédric Cambon · Orleans |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 2 |
| 7 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stade Brestois 29 | Orleans |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | — |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| coach days |
| venue | Stade Francis-Le-Blé |
| 483.00 |
| 1944.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.27 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.32 |
| elo | 1545.69 | 1428.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.50 | -44.11 |
| eye test v1 | -0.07 | -0.87 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.10 | 65.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.67 |
| league points | 22.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.69 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -7.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 6.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.59 | -0.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.22 | 28.23 |
| state index | -0.08 | -1.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.69 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |