← Ligue 2 2017 · Fri, Oct 20, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Karim Abed, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nimes win | 49% | 1.99 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.61 |
| Stade Brestois 29 win | 24% | 4.06 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Umut Bozok · Nimes |
| 19' | 🟨 | Romain Del Castillo · Nimes |
| 19' | 🟨 | Ibrahima Sissoko · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 31' | 🟨 | Alexandre Coeff · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 43' | 🟨 | Ibrahima Sissoko · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 43' | 🟥 | Ibrahima Sissoko · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 51' | ⚽ | Umut Bozok · Nimes |
| 54' | 🟥 | Zakaria Diallo · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 59' | ⚽ | Romain Del Castillo · Nimes |
| 83' | ⚽ | Umut Bozok · Nimes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 3 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nimes | Stade Brestois 29 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| coach days |
| venue | Stade des Costières |
| 719.00 |
| 476.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 4.03 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1563.13 | 1561.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.62 | 16.28 |
| eye test v1 | 0.93 | 0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.00 | 59.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.63 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.81 |
| league points | 19.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.20 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 55.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.73 | 1.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.44 | 0.81 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 24.21 | 27.09 |
| state index | 0.43 | 0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.84 | 0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |