← Ligue 2 2017 · Mon, Oct 2, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Stephane Jochem, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC win | 36% | 2.69 |
| FC Lorient win | 33% | 2.93 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.21 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Faïz Selemani · FC Lorient |
| 18' | 🟨 | Ebenezer Assifuah · Le Havre AC |
| 33' | ⚽ | Jean-Philippe Mateta · Le Havre AC |
| 43' | ⚽ | Alexandre Bonnet · Le Havre AC |
| 46' | 🟨 | Denys Bain · Le Havre AC |
| 70' | ⚽ | Jean-Pascal Fontaine · Le Havre AC |
| 76' | 🟨 | Harold Moukoudi · Le Havre AC |
| 80' | ⚽ | Fabien Lemoine · FC Lorient |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 15 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Le Havre AC | FC Lorient |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.51 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.51 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| coach days |
| venue | Stade Océane |
| 366.00 |
| 125.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.27 | 2.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1520.79 | 1573.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.07 | 7.11 |
| eye test v1 | -1.10 | 0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.32 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.00 | 63.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.78 |
| league points | 16.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 9.83 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 1.82 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 8.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.26 | 0.89 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 24.43 | 25.79 |
| state index | -0.23 | 0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.16 | 0.96 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |