β Ligue 2 2017 Β· Mon, Aug 14, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: Jeremy Stinat, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient win | 63% | 1.54 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.06 |
| Chateauroux win | 13% | 7.73 |
across 1 bookmaker Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 50' | β½ | Jimmy Cabot Β· FC Lorient |
| 57' | β½ | Denis Bouanga Β· FC Lorient |
| 60' | β½ | Ibrahima Sory ContΓ© Β· FC Lorient |
| 78' | π¨ | Aldo Angoula Β· Chateauroux |
| 84' | π¨ | Sidy Sarr Β· Chateauroux |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 8 | Corners | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Lorient | Chateauroux |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | β |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.56 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.56 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| coach days |
| venue | Stade du Moustoir |
| 76.00 |
| 1413.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | β |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.60 | β |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | β |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | β |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | β |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | β |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | β |
| elo | 1545.48 | 1362.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.85 | 20.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.15 | 0.64 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.36 | β |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.90 | β |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 80.50 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 9.83 | 10.00 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | β |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | β |
| skill v1 | 0.57 | 0.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | β |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.50 |
| squad age | 25.92 | 25.28 |
| state index | -0.24 | -0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.43 | 0.59 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | β |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |