β Ligue 2 2017 Β· Fri, Aug 11, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: Cedric Dos Santos, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes win | 39% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.13 |
| Clermont win | 30% | 3.28 |
across 1 bookmaker Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 59' | π¨ | Thomas Fontaine Β· Clermont |
| 81' | π¨ | Fabien Centonze Β· Clermont |
| 85' | π¨ | Lebo Mothiba Β· Valenciennes |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 16 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Clermont |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| coach days | 588.00 | 1867.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | β |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| 1.40 |
| -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 8.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.71 | 2.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | β |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | β |
| elo | 1461.21 | 1459.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.95 | 9.63 |
| eye test v1 | -1.11 | 0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.34 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 55.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | β |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | β |
| skill v1 | 0.62 | 0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.70 | 24.44 |
| state index | -0.21 | -0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.89 | -0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |