← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, May 13, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Tobias Welz, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig win | 43% | 2.24 |
| Holstein Kiel win | 32% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.01 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Jan Hochscheidt · Braunschweig |
| 16' | ⚽ | Aaron Seydel · Holstein Kiel |
| 19' | ⚽ | Ken Reichel · Braunschweig |
| 22' | ⚽ | Steven Lewerenz · Holstein Kiel |
| 24' | 🟨 | Gustav Valsvik · Braunschweig |
| 30' | ⚽ | Steven Lewerenz · Holstein Kiel |
| 33' | ⚽ | Rafael Czichos · Holstein Kiel |
| 57' | ⚽ | Steven Lewerenz · Holstein Kiel |
| 60' | ⚽ | Steven Lewerenz · Holstein Kiel |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 4 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 20 | Shots | 14 |
| 8 | On target | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 20 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Holstein Kiel | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.46 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 |
| venue | Holstein-Stadion |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 650.00 | 3664.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.66 | 2.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1573.97 | 1493.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.09 | -34.25 |
| eye test v1 | -0.00 | -0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.60 | 51.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.77 |
| league points | 59.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.00 | 67.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 43.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.69 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -8.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.43 | -1.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.69 | 28.05 |
| state index | 0.46 | -0.89 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.13 | -0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |