← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, May 13, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Sven Waschitzki, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ingolstadt win | 67% | 1.44 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.21 |
| Kaiserslautern win | 14% | 6.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | ⚽ | Phillipp Mwene · Kaiserslautern |
| 42' | ⚽ | Phillipp Mwene · Kaiserslautern |
| 47' | ⚽ | Sebastian Andersson · Kaiserslautern |
| 49' | ⚽ | Marcel Gaus · Ingolstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 16 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ingolstadt | Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| coach days | 285.00 | 101.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| venue | Audi Sportpark |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.43 | 1.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1518.03 | 1444.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.56 | -19.15 |
| eye test v1 | -0.45 | -0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.00 | 61.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.72 |
| league points | 46.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -9.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.30 | -0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.57 | 25.90 |
| state index | -0.51 | -0.51 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | -0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |