← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, May 13, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Sören Storks, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 43% | 2.28 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.16 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 27% | 3.64 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 64' | 🟨 | Pascal Köpke · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 72' | 🟨 | Fabian Holland · Darmstadt |
| 82' | 🟨 | Clemens Fandrich · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 86' | ⚽ | Tobias Kempe · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 1 | Corners | 13 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | Erzgebirge AUE |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| coach days | 163.00 | 346.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.08 |
| venue | Stadion am Böllenfalltor |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.76 | 3.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1515.04 | 1406.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 36.67 | -53.48 |
| eye test v1 | -0.22 | -0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | -0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.50 | 63.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.85 | 0.66 |
| league points | 43.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.00 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.13 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.05 | 0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.49 | 27.38 |
| state index | 0.53 | -1.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.47 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |