← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, May 13, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Harm Osmers, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 43% | 2.26 |
| Greuther Furth win | 31% | 3.16 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.68 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Sebastian Griesbeck · Heidenheim |
| 14' | 🟨 | Nik Omladič · Greuther Furth |
| 44' | 🟨 | Mario Maloča · Greuther Furth |
| 51' | ⚽ | Julian Green · Greuther Furth |
| 75' | 🟨 | Maximilian Wittek · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Serdar Dursun · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | ⚽ | Tim Skarke · Heidenheim |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| coach days | 3907.00 | 254.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 2.44 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1471.64 | 1445.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.94 | -29.85 |
| eye test v1 | -0.03 | -0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 65.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.68 |
| league points | 42.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.00 | 66.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.00 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.66 | -1.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.12 | 25.22 |
| state index | 0.18 | -0.78 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.78 | -0.85 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |