← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, May 13, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Patrick Alt, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 53% | 1.83 |
| Regensburg win | 25% | 3.95 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.33 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | 🟨 | Anthony Losilla · Bochum |
| 34' | 🟨 | Markus Palionis · Regensburg |
| 40' | 🟨 | Robert Tesche · Bochum |
| 40' | 🟨 | Patrick Fabian · Bochum |
| 40' | 🟨 | Marco Grüttner · Regensburg |
| 45' | 🟨 | Asger Sørensen · Regensburg |
| 61' | 🟨 | Sidney Sam · Bochum |
| 62' | 🟨 | Sargis Adamyan · Regensburg |
| 64' | ⚽ | Marco Grüttner · Regensburg |
| 87' | ⚽ | Johannes Wurtz · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 20 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 9 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| coach days | 101.00 | 316.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.46 | 2.36 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1497.08 | 1421.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.11 | -21.18 |
| eye test v1 | -0.27 | 0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.31 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.90 | 46.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.62 |
| league points | 48.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 67.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.20 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.37 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 16.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.81 | -0.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 28.36 | 26.13 |
| state index | 0.15 | -0.70 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.78 | -0.76 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |