← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, May 13, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Bibiana Steinhaus, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 48% | 2.02 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 28% | 3.50 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.01 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Georg Margreitter · Nurnberg |
| 12' | ⚽ | Tim Leibold · Nurnberg |
| 22' | 🟨 | Tobias Werner · Nurnberg |
| 37' | ⚽ | Takashi Usami · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 39' | 🟨 | Hanno Behrens · Nurnberg |
| 60' | ⚽ | Niko Giesselmann · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 86' | 🟨 | Niko Giesselmann · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kaan Ayhan · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 90' | ⚽ | Kaan Ayhan · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.54 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| 1.60 |
| coach days | 438.00 | 803.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 8.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.59 | 2.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1596.98 | 1534.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 48.85 | -4.27 |
| eye test v1 | 1.09 | 0.76 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.61 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.80 | 62.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.54 |
| league points | 66.00 | 66.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.40 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.89 | 1.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.81 | -0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 25.84 | 27.02 |
| state index | 0.99 | 0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.97 | -1.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |