← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, May 6, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Martin Thomsen, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 39% | 2.52 |
| Kaiserslautern win | 34% | 2.86 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.53 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 49' | 🟨 | Christoph Moritz · Kaiserslautern |
| 62' | 🟨 | Marcel Titsch-Rivero · Heidenheim |
| 68' | ⚽ | Sebastian Andersson · Kaiserslautern |
| 85' | 🟨 | Mads Albaek · Kaiserslautern |
| 89' | 🟨 | Marius Müller · Kaiserslautern |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tim Skarke · Heidenheim |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 21 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 18 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kaiserslautern | Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 |
| venue | Fritz-Walter-Stadion |
| 1.40 |
| coach days | 94.00 | 3900.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.79 | 2.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1434.86 | 1481.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.29 | 16.73 |
| eye test v1 | 0.43 | -0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.70 | 54.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.67 |
| league points | 32.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 20.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 66.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 40.40 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.80 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.33 | -1.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.42 | 26.78 |
| state index | -0.50 | -0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.80 | -1.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |