← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, May 6, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Florian Heft, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 45% | 2.18 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.35 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 26% | 3.67 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | 🟨 | Nejmeddin Daghfous · SV Sandhausen |
| 38' | ⚽ | Hanno Behrens · Nurnberg |
| 40' | 🟨 | Ondřej Petrák · Nurnberg |
| 45' | 🟨 | Richard Sukuta-Pasu · SV Sandhausen |
| 51' | 🟨 | Stefan Kulovits · SV Sandhausen |
| 56' | 🟨 | Hanno Behrens · Nurnberg |
| 75' | ⚽ | Tim Leibold · Nurnberg |
| 85' | 🟨 | Eduard Löwen · Nurnberg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 8 |
| 10 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Sandhausen | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Hardtwaldstadion |
| coach days | 674.00 | 431.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.27 | 4.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1481.48 | 1583.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.53 | 34.40 |
| eye test v1 | -0.51 | 0.87 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | 0.54 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.20 | 53.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.73 |
| league points | 45.00 | 63.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.60 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 1.85 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.15 | -0.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 27.73 | 25.84 |
| state index | 0.00 | 0.61 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.68 | -0.84 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |