← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, May 6, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Markus Schmidt, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 45% | 2.15 |
| Bielefeld win | 28% | 3.46 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.63 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Stephan Salger · Bielefeld |
| 39' | ⚽ | Yi-Young Park · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC St. Pauli 1910 | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| coach days | 156.00 | 674.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.58 | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1474.20 | 1503.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.82 | 24.74 |
| eye test v1 | -0.35 | 0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.80 | 63.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.72 |
| league points | 41.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.80 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.13 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 1.41 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 17.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.61 | -0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 26.45 | 23.83 |
| state index | -0.29 | 0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.12 | -0.75 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |