← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, May 6, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Robert Schroder, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Union Berlin win | 42% | 2.30 |
| Bochum win | 30% | 3.23 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | 🟨 | Patrick Fabian · Bochum |
| 35' | 🟨 | Dennis Daube · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 45' | ⚽ | Kenny Prince Redondo · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 47' | ⚽ (og) | Danilo Soares · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 51' | 🟨 | Christopher Trimmel · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 53' | 🟨 | Kenny Prince Redondo · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 61' | 🟨 | Anthony Losilla · Bochum |
| 80' | 🟨 | Manuel Riemann · Bochum |
| 86' | ⚽ | Lukas Hinterseer · Bochum |
| 90' | ⚽ | Steven Skrzybski · 1. FC Union Berlin |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 25 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 9 |
| 15 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | 1. FC Union Berlin | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | An der Alten Försterei |
| coach days | 153.00 | 94.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 2.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1499.06 | 1509.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.12 | 42.71 |
| eye test v1 | -0.45 | 0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.90 | 64.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.71 |
| league points | 43.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 82.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.40 | 58.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.42 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.41 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.10 | 1.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.66 | 28.58 |
| state index | -0.12 | 0.63 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.36 | 0.66 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |